Moscow's new campaign to instigate a War in Ukraine and Syria by Sir Jeremiah Orion Kennedy

Thanksgiving Weekend A Syrian Chemical Attack & Moscow Decides To Block International Water Ways in Ukraine

                This Post for the Guardian describes how Russia used a cargo ship under the new bridge in the strait in order to block the Ukraine vessels from entering through international waters. Once the Ukraine 2 vessels and a tugboat saw the blockade and were buzzed with military helicopters, they turned around in order not to provoke, the basically ran. It was then that the Russian Military ships rammed the ships and took over and captured Ukraine men and the ship. Killing one.
The rational that comes from Moscow was the Ukraine along with the help of the USA and Western countries did this provocation in order to establish Marshall Law in Ukraine to stop the Ukraine elections which is to take place in March 2019. 1. The idea of Ukraine Parliament voting for martial law only came after the incident and the Vessels and crew were taken. 2. The Ukraine elections are in March that is 5 months away, not weeks or a month. The Ukraine government had no other choice but to declare Marshall Law, when it's neighbor already took part of Eastern Ukraine and Crimea from it. Ukraine is felling threatened, that is what Marshall Law is for.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/nov/26/nato-calls-for-calm-after-boats-seized-in-russia-ukraine-clashes-kerch-strait

             Why this weekend? And what were the signs. First it was a few weeks ago the Russia decided to tell it's people to prepare for War. A few days later China did the same thing. A few weeks ago Moscow came out with it's own intelligence saying that a chemical attack in Syria by the Western Coalition was imminent. This past weekend During Thanksgiving and Holiday sales November 24nd this is what happened. A chemical Attack happened in Syria against the people of Syria and the rebels were blamed.

Following the alleged attack, Russian warplanes attacked rebel-held areas in northern Syria for the first time in weeks on Sunday.The rebels, who deny carrying out any poison gas attacks, accused the government of trying to undermine a truce reached by Russia and Turkey in September.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/watchdog-mulls-sending-inspectors-to-syria-following-attack/2018/11/26/73c858cc-f172-11e8-99c2-cfca6fcf610c_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.fe3790ec9fd5

                      So the weekend of November 24th, or Thanksgiving Weekend, when most of the country are traveling, cooking preparing a Thanksgiving meals. Some are even preparing for the Christmas and Holiday shopping though the special deals of Friday after Thanksgiving and Cyber Monday. So basically the American people are not thinking about International politics the War in Syria or other areas were American troops are based and fighting. A few weeks ago Russia tells it citizens to prepare for a War. Moscow has a pattern of using events such as the Olympics or other major events to strike. But why know? The reason in WW2 the Japanese went to war and the only reason was lack of oil. The Japanese had little and had no access to future oil. Today we have an oil market that did reach 75.00 a share but that took 2 years. The Russian economy is based on a 50 dollar a barrel of oil just to break even. So with oil over the past 2 years being very low combined with the fact that they are under sanctions and are fighting wars in Syria, Ukraine, supplying the Taliban with Intelligence and arms. This had added to the budget. Which is why we saw this Summer protests not only in major Russia cities but also in suburbs. As we also say in Iran. The people don't want to pay for these wars. From October 3rd 2018 to today November 27th the price has gone from 76.00 to 51.10 a barrel of oil. Remember that 50$ a barrel a few years ago was Moscow economic breaking point. This is was they are instigating War. They are stepping up the war in Syria and this Wednesday to Friday Russia, Iran and Turkey plan a new coalition meeting on Syria. What will come from that meeting only time will tell. The other front Moscow is now instigating is Ukraine. After taking Crimea away from Ukraine and then finishing a new bridge from Russia to Crimea just a few months ago, and under the stress of Oil prices and Sanctions. Moscow is now desperate as desperate as Japan was in World War Two.

             So what are Moscow's intentions?  Regarding Syria we already now that the entire war was started from a civil unrest to get rid of one Dictator a family inherited dictator. That was the Syrian people choice. But Moscow has a naval base the only warm water naval base right in the Mediterranean. During the protest Moscow decided to send helicopter under the disguise of "Humanitarian Reasons". So the Helicopters arrived along with Russian special forces. Then the Massacres started right in the streets of Damascus and in other regions of Syria were mass protests were accruing to protest the President of Syria during the regions movement of change. So Women, children and average citizens were slaughtered right in the streets some from helicopters, some from snipers even a young boy on a bicycle  was run over by a tank. I am telling you this for perspective. Moscow needed that one naval base and a foot in Syria and the Middle east. From there after the Iran Deal was signed by President B. Obama on a Tuesday 3 days later Russia lands there most sophisticated fighter jets in Syria. Along with shelter for 2,000 troops. Since then that airfield has been expanded and a second air field is already done. So what started out as Civil unrest gave us "Little Russia" with not only a larger naval base but now to large military airfields. Like in WW2 and the USA having a base in Germany I don't believe Russia will ever leave. After Iran got there 80 billion dollars under the Iran "Nuclear Deal" Syria and Russia invited Iran into Syria. Tomorrow Russia, Iran and there new friend Turkey will have a 3 day meeting topic Syria. Turkey decided to join forces with Russia and Iran attend there meeting and find a cooperation. 

                     My Intelligence is saying that Moscow what's the Syrian Oil and more.  We already know that Turkey never agreed after WW2 of the boarders it now has and wants more, were the Kurds are and the oil. I am suggesting that a deal will be made that Russia, Iran and Turkey will go after the oil whether it be in Syria or Iraq. Turkey will get more land, and they all will get the oil. Iran will most likely take over Iraq and continue its fight for Yemen. Whether Russia goes into Yemen of helps so how is not that far fetched. There already for the past 2 years have been helping the Taliban in Afghanistan. That's why we saw an uptick in attack in Afghanistan. Two years ago the Taliban wrote a letter to the Citizens of the USA, which was not reported on the main news. We should had listened. But a few weeks before President Trump hired Kelley has his Chief of Staff. Trump did this to clean up his Oval office staff. The problem is the Kelley was for staying in Afghanistan. Even though he campaigned as President to leave Afghanistan. He says it took time to think it over and in the long run he was influenced to stay and fight in Afghanistan. Note at this time I already new the Moscow was funding the Taliban and giving them Intelligence and China was preparing to build a naval base in Pakistan. So to me it sounded like Vietnam all over again. USA fighting a war while a defector war was being played by Russia and China. 

                    The above paragraph just describes the Syria problem. Now what will happen in Ukraine. Well for years now Russia decided to take Crimea from a sovereign country as well as splitting its people and dividing the Country and taking Western Ukraine or the part that boarders Russia. Again for "Humanitarian Reasons" they felt it necessary and make believe that it was a volunteer army that was going to save the Western Ukraine's from abuse stating that most spoke Russian. So what began with pro Russian rebels in Western Ukraine began to look more like Russian military. As if Ukraine was going to attack Western Ukraine there own country for no reason at all. So a few months ago the Bridge was built linking Russia to Crimea. This weekend Moscow decided to place a cargo ship under the bridge in an attempt to block, and International water access. When the Ukraine 2 vessels and a tug boat saw the blockade and the military helicopters buzz over there boats. They decided to do the right thing and ran or turned away. It was then that the Russian military boat rammed and fired upon the Ukraine boats, taking the boats and the crew. Killing one.
Now you might want to ask to what end and what is Moscow thinking. To tell you the truth I have no idea again at oil being 50$ a barrel and the sanctions placed seems that Moscow is acting like a rabid dog. Not only do there not care about there own country by silencing any opposition for election, but they seem to be inclined to cause mayhem, massacres etc. in other areas of the World. What there end game in Ukraine is any ones guess but I can tell you this they are not letting the United Nations, European Union and The United States of America Sanctions effect them at least in there actions. That and the price of oil is making Moscow into an "International pariah". 

All the Best,
Toast 📉

The Nuclear Arms Race in North Korea and Iran, by Sir Jeremiah Orion Kennedy

                              It was in 2003, when I moved from Boca Raton to Fort Lauderdale that I was told to keep a watchful eye on the Importance of Nuclear Arms being developed by both Iran. So I began my research on the daily news with a focus on Iran and North Korea race to create a nuclear bomb and a way to delivery the bomb. I followed the IAEA, The International Atomic Energy Agency. I followed what other World leaders and there Foreign Ministers where saying. Also following the Head of the EU, Supreme Leader and Think Tanks. 

                             From day one it was very clear both countries would bend over backwards to create a nuclear bomb and were doing research on the missiles that would carry the bomb. In fact I have been following the North Korean quest since I came on board during the  President Clinton Administration. Clinton tried but was doped by the former head of North Korea, Kim Jong-il who decided to pull out of the deal and lose Energy deals that where not Nuclear, and food for the people of Iran. Today his son as of 2018 has promised to South Korea, Tokyo, the United States, China and Russia that he would denuclearize his country of North Korea. Kim Jong Un, did to some moves to the general public looks as though he is sincere in his statement with President Trump and to the World. Here are the problems. 1. The nuclear site that he says he will and did destroy further was already destroyed after he last nuclear test on that site. Mind you doing the nuclear test already violated UN Sanctions and International law. The good news is that when he did the last nuclear test the underground facility caved in making it unusable in essence he already destroyed the site, even as he promised to destroy it as part of a deal. 2. Stopping Long Range missile test. That's because North Korea has already achieved the test and past. So why continue to test this form of rocket when it past. 3. There is another missile that they are still working on, but that is being kept quit.When I started watching North Korea they had no weapons then through lies and deceat and with the help of China and Russia by not being stronger on UN Sanctions today North Korea as over 24 nuclear weapons. So this changes North Korea and there place in the World. This Changes everything when it comes to North Korea. We can help them and bring them into the civilized world of no weapons of mass destruction. Or we can stand by and watch as the use there only form of income or commodity, making nuclear bombs and selling to other Countries or private armies.

Below is the article today or as this month November 2018, that North Korea is now expanding there Nuclear sites. It's a far cry from going forward towards the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. I am sure South Korea, Toyko and the USA are not happy with this lack of trust and bold disregard for signing a deal.
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-iaea/north-korean-still-working-at-main-nuclear-site-iaea-says-idUSKCN1NS0IO?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews

https://www.newsweek.com/north-korea-ignoring-donald-trump-nuclear-site-expands-global-watchdog-1228550

And Today the IAEA is demanding access back in North Korea Nuclear Facilities. See article below.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/world/iaea-calls-on-north-korea-to-re-admit-nuclear-inspectors-1.4189018

While growing up, my father stressed the importance of a saying. "Your Word Must be Gold". I live by this principle. For and individual it shows character. For a World Leader of a country it shows outright disseat, and when dealing with a topic such as nuclear bombs makes it a very dangerous act. 

Now lets move on to Iran. After watching from 2003, I say photos of the facility before and after they cleaned it up. I say pictures of a very large sphere which would be used to test the trigger of a nuclear bomb. This sphere had no other purpose. I heard from the Iran Administration that they were going to double even triple there nuclear sites. Then the Iran talks began. Some how the EU high commission with UK, Germany and Iran with the help of Russia and China decided to believe the IAEA based in Vienna and after months of talks decided to form an agreement the yes Iran was trying to develop a nuclear bomb but had stopped some years ago. I believe they thought it was 2007. Even though I still know that there is a secret facility under Tehran University. So the Iran Nuclear deal if you want to call it that really only called for the facilities to be moth balled. IAEA was still not allowed to question nuclear scientists nor visit there nuclear site on snap request or right away. 
                    So the European High Commission decided to write a Nuclear deal. So how these countries thought it would be best, and had the blessing of Russian and China. It took some strong arming to get the United States Congress to go along but they did and the President at the time Barak Obama gladly signed the deal. Maybe for a positive for his presidency. To stop or a least delay by 10 years the fact the Iran wants and will probably have a nuclear bomb if they do not already have one. So it was a Tuesday and I say a picture in the Oval Office of President Obama celebrating with his staff the fact that Congress passed the deal and it was cleared and was Law. 3 days later Moscow flew there jets into Syria, along with special forces and enough equipment to house 2,000 troops. They also brought along anti missile defense system for the protection of there most advance Air Craft, fighter jets. Since that day Friday 3 days after Pres. Obama signed the Iran nuclear deal Iran gets 80 billion dollars the was frozen. Russia not only has expanded the Naval base the entire reason for the Syrian war, but has expanded the Air base and has created a second airbase. So it this point Russia is in Syria for not only the near future but for years to come. How the Syrian people will like this is beyond me to understand, after the symmetrically destroyed the entire country, Hospitals, Doctors and created a exodus and Holocaust. Since that Friday Russia has now invited in Iran, who has invited in Lebanon's Hezbollah. Which means we or the Syrian Country now has 3 armies: Russia, Iran and Hezbollah on one side. Plus the Coalition fight troops including the USA.  A few months back President of Russia asks the IMF and the Western World to start and rebuild Syria. Only weeks after he had a region blocked and no one could get out, not to mention bringing in helicopters from day on of the Syria holocaust for "Humanitarian reasons" while the special forces slipped in and the massacre started during the Syrian Civil marches with women and children.
                     But I am digressing so back to the second topic of Iran quest for a nuclear bomb. It has come to the news which I and many others new that Iran did not stop in 2007 in trying to create a nuclear weapon and the mines to deliver it from using Long Range missiles. In fact just recently the article below came out. 

Israel at the United Nations General Assembly Oct. 2018
Says Iran has secret Nuclear Warehouse.
https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2018-11/news/israel-claims-secret-nuclear-site-iran

https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5412157,00.html

Iran was closer to a Nuclear Weapon then some intelligence agency thought.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2018/11/13/iran-was-closer-to-a-nuclear-bomb-than-intelligence-agencies-thought/

                So know you all know what I have know for years, the Iran nuclear deal was a farce. That Iran was always striving for a nuclear weapon and a was to deliver it. I heard the lies and deception. I was completely amazed when I Hearded that the U.K. France and Germany and the Supreme leader of the European Union were going to go along with the Iran deal. Members of congress have more then one topic to follow in fact they are always handling many issues at the same time. I was only focused on the topic above. Iran and North Korea creating a nuclear bomb which my the way is one of the main reasons for global warming. You see the the United States of America decided to use a nuclear bomb in WW2, it created a hole over Japan. That is the hole in the atmosphere. See below pic. The hole has over the years shifted. 

So the problem is not only having a nuclear weapon that could be target at a people or a city, but the use of the weapon will effect Mother Earth and move global warming into a path that is not to be rectified. 

                 As you see with article above it is not a opinion which most USA Cable Channels like to give, but are all based on facts. A journalists job is to report the facts. It is the individual that will take these facts and news and form there own opinion. 

All the Best,
Sir Jeremiah Orion Kennedy 
aka Toast